The Mathematical Probability of Miracles


Many would argue that miracles have a 1:1,000,000 (1 to 1 million) ratio, and others whom are more conservative would argue that miracles have a 1:1,000,000,000 (1 to 1 billion) ratio, meaning for every 1 miracle, 1,000,000,000 (1 billion) events occur without a miracle. 1 in 1,000,000,000 (1 billion) sounds astronomically high, as on the entire planet there are only 8,100,000,000 (8.1 billion) human beings, but if a person draws 6 cards from a standard deck of cards, whatever sequence they draw has a 1:14,000,000,000 (1 in 14 billion) chance of occurring. Because of this, one could argue that every hand of cards drawn is a miracle and not a random act of chance. This logic applies to all randomized items or numerical values (e.g. first 6 digits of a Social Insurance Number or last 6 digits of a phone number etc.). What humans refer to as a “miracle” is often merely a statistical anomaly, an event with low probability, but not impossibility, something which is guaranteed to occur given enough repetitions are made. The sheer volume of possible outcomes virtually guarantees that rare patterns will emerge eventually, not because they are miraculous, but because the mathematics demand it be so